Tornado Watch Until 1 am Wednesday. A watch means "watch out", stay alert, keep an eye on the sky, and stay tuned to local media, make sure your NOAA Weather Radio is turned on, and be ready to head to the basement (or an interior "safe room") if skies turn threatening. SPC has issued this watch until 1 am tomorrow. It includes the northern suburbs of the Twin Cities, St. Cloud and Alexandria, but people living near Brainerd and the Twin Cities should not be complacent. If you live close to a watch box, within 50-75 miles, you may be impacted too.
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 413
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
610 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL MINNESOTA
NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA
NORTHWEST WISCONSIN
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 610 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST OF WATERTOWN
SOUTH DAKOTA TO 125 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF SAINT CLOUD
MINNESOTA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 412...
DISCUSSION...INTENSE WARM FRONT EXTENDS IN A ENEWD FASHION FROM A
SFC LOW IN ERN SD...ACROSS CNTRL MN...AND INTO NRN WI. A VERY
MOIST...UNSTABLE AND CURRENTLY CAPPED AIR MASS EXISTS NEAR THE SFC
LOW AND ALONG THE FRONT. E TO ENE SFC WINDS NEAR THE FRONTAL ZONE
VEER STRONGLY TO SLY JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE AND THE SWLY AT MID
LEVELS RESULTING IN VOLATILE EFFECTIVE SRH VALUES IN EXCESS OF 500
M2/S2 AND PRONOUNCED HODOGRAPH CURVATURE. GIVEN MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER
FOCUSED ALONG THE BOUNDARY...LFC IS ALSO LOCALLY LOW NEAR THE FRONT
AND SUPPORTIVE OF STORM UPDRAFTS INITIATING NEARER THE SFC. THERE IS
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY...HOWEVER...REGARDING SFC-BASED STORM
INITIATION IN SUCH A STRONGLY CAPPED REGIME. HOWEVER...TIME OF DAY
AND STRENGTHENING FORCING FOR DEEP ASCENT IN THE FORM OF AN
APPROACHING SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND STRENGTHENING LLJ...WHEN COMBINED
WITH SUCH A SUPPORTIVE KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT FOR TORNADO
POTENTIAL...WARRANT THE ISSUANCE OF THE TORNADO WATCH ALONG THE WARM
FRONT THIS EVENING.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025.
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