62 F. maximum temperature yesterday in St. Cloud.
63 F. average high on October 2.
74 F. high in St. Cloud on October 2, 2016.
October 3, 1922: A hot fall day occurs in Minnesota. Notable highs are 95 in Ada and 93 at Moorhead.
Flood Watch Early, Then Drying Out by Afternoon
I know it's super-drippy out there, but I'm still not going to gripe about the weather anytime soon. Over a foot of snow shut down I-70 in Colorado, tinder-dry conditions are whipping up more fires across California, and NOAA's National Hurricane Center confirms that, based on hurricane intensity and duration, September was the most active month on record, with 3.5 times more energy than average. Americans living from Houston to Key West to San Juan probably wouldn't argue with that.
I know it's super-drippy out there, but I'm still not going to gripe about the weather anytime soon. Over a foot of snow shut down I-70 in Colorado, tinder-dry conditions are whipping up more fires across California, and NOAA's National Hurricane Center confirms that, based on hurricane intensity and duration, September was the most active month on record, with 3.5 times more energy than average. Americans living from Houston to Key West to San Juan probably wouldn't argue with that.
A
persistent frontal boundary sparks heavy rain early, but skies should
dry out later today with highs close to 70F. A ration of blue sky is
expected Wednesday and early Thursday, but a weak storm rippling to our
south may brush Minnesota with more showers Friday into Saturday
morning. Sunday looks like the drier, sunnier day of the weekend, with
no frost within 75 miles of the metro area through next week.
Fall
colors are unusually vibrant this year, the result of adequate moisture
(drought wasn't a problem this summer). I doubt this wet spell will
take the edge off our paint-by-numbers autumn.
Frost-Free Next 2 Weeks.
At least in the immediate Twin Cities metro, where urban heat island
will add a few degrees. Next week the mercury may dip into the low 40s,
but no widespread frost or freeze events are brewing into mid-October.
Twin Cities ECMWF numbers: WeatherBell.
84-Hour Rainfall Potential.
Some of the heaviest rains into Thursday night fall across the Upper
Mississippi Valley; the atmosphere cold enough for snow across much of
Montana. We're keeping an eye on possible tropical development in the
eastern Gulf of Mexico. For now the Atlantic and Caribbean is mercifully
quiet. NAM guidance: NOAA and Tropicaltidbits.com.
In Puerto Rico, Acute Shortages Plunge the Masses Into Survival Struggle. A story at Reuters provides some perspective on what people in Puerto Rico are facing on a daily basis: "...By
Saturday, 11 days after Hurricane Maria crippled this impoverished U.S.
territory, residents scrambled for all the staples of modern society –
food, water, fuel, medicine, currency – in a grinding survival struggle
that has gripped Puerto Ricans across social classes. For days now,
residents have awoken each morning to decide which lifeline they should
pursue: gasoline at the few open stations, food and bottled water at the
few grocery stores with fuel for generators, or scarce cash at the few
operating banks or ATMs. The pursuit of just one of these essentials can
consume an entire day – if the mission succeeds at all – as hordes of
increasingly desperate residents wait in 12-hour lines..."
September Was a Hellish Month for Hurricanes. What Will October Bring? USA TODAY provides some perspective: "...There
is no question that this is already going to be one of the costliest
Atlantic hurricane seasons on record — and we’re only in September,"
said meteorologist Steve Bowen
of global reinsurance firm Aon Benfield. "Regardless of where the final
numbers settle, this season is one which will be remembered for a very
long time." Final cost estimates from this season won't be available
until early next year, said Brady Philips, spokesman for the National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. For now, that leaves the 2005
Atlantic hurricane season, which featured monsters such as Katrina, Rita
and Wilma, as the costliest hurricane season for the U.S., with an
estimated economic toll of $211 billion, Bowen said..."
Their Island Homes Wiped Away in the Hurricanes, Caribbean Residents Wonder: Should We Go Back? Here's a clip from The Washington Post: "...In this, the cruelest season of storms that anyone alive has known, entire islands, such as Barbuda, have been wiped clear. There’s no power across Puerto Rico, and it probably won’t fully return for months. Dominica is devastated, with no commerce and hardly any usable homes. St. John and St. Martin — playgrounds for the affluent and homelands for the descendants of slaves, adventurers and colonizers — have been boomeranged back to a time before luxury resorts and timeshare condos. The storms pushed the islands back to the primitive, basic state that made the sandbars of the Caribbean so alluring to European empires, pirates and tourists for half a millennium. Investors, governments, visitors and the people who have called these islands home for generations now wonder: Has something elemental changed? Might paradise turn uninhabitable? Is it time to go?..."
Photo credit: "
Photo credit: "The FBI didn't just target college basketball coaches. It went after a high-level apparel executive." AP Photo/Bebeto Matthews.
The 60s Soviet Satellite That Crashed Into Wisconsin. I had no idea, but Atlas Obscura set me straight: "In September 1962, something fell from
aloft in Manitowoc, Wisconsin, cracking the asphalt on North 8th Street
in front of what’s now the Rahr-West Art Museum. Dennis Gintner, a
Manitowoc-area resident, was a pre-teen at the time. He remembers the
to-do about it. “There was a cop that came along and kicked it off the
street,” he says. “Thought it came from a garbage wagon.” But as the
pieces of the mysterious hunk of metal came to light, the town of
Manitowoc realized they were dealing with something that was not of this
world. Okay, well, it was only kind of from out of this world. What
fell in Manitowoc all of those years ago was a piece of Sputnik IV, a
Russian satellite* that had spent two years in orbit..."
Image credit: "A
composite image showing Yuri Gagarin, the first man in space, against a
Hubble telescope capture. Gagarin flew on a Vostok spacecraft, of which
Sputnik IV was the first." Robert Couse-Baker/ cropped/ CC BY 2.0
TODAY: Early rain, then clearing. Winds: W 8-13. High: 71
TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Low: 48
WEDNESDAY: Plenty of sunshine, very nice. Winds: NW 7-12. High: 65
THURSDAY: Clouds increase, stray shower late? Winds: W 5-10. Wake-up: 49. High: 66
FRIDAY: Better chance of rain, gloomy. Winds: SE 10-20. Wake-up: 51. High: 63
SATURDAY: Early showers, then getting sunnier. Winds: SW 7-12. Wake-up: 53. High: 67
SUNDAY: Mix of clouds and sun, windy. Winds: NW 10-20. Wake-up: 50. High: 64
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy and windy, few PM sprinkles. Winds: NW 10-20. Wake-up: 47. High: 58
WEDNESDAY: Plenty of sunshine, very nice. Winds: NW 7-12. High: 65
THURSDAY: Clouds increase, stray shower late? Winds: W 5-10. Wake-up: 49. High: 66
FRIDAY: Better chance of rain, gloomy. Winds: SE 10-20. Wake-up: 51. High: 63
SATURDAY: Early showers, then getting sunnier. Winds: SW 7-12. Wake-up: 53. High: 67
SUNDAY: Mix of clouds and sun, windy. Winds: NW 10-20. Wake-up: 50. High: 64
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy and windy, few PM sprinkles. Winds: NW 10-20. Wake-up: 47. High: 58
* Photo above taken at Two Harbors on Monday, courtesy of Praedictix meteorologist D.J. Kayser.
Climate Stories...
Photo credit: "A resident bailed water from a flooded home yesterday in the aftermath of Hurricane Maria in Cataño, Puerto Rico. A week after the storm, many are still waiting for help." Carlos Giusti/Associated Press.
Costs of Climate Change: Early Estimate for Hurricanes, Fires Reaches $300 Billion. Who will ultimately pay for this? We - the people. Here's an excerpt from InsideClimate News: "The devastation from hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria—plus dozens of wildfires that raged across the West in early August—could result in the costliest string of weather events in U.S. history, according to a new report. Over the course of a few weeks, the hurricanes and wildfires left a trail of damage that could add up to nearly $300 billion, according to early estimates from the authors of "The Economic Case for Climate Action in the United States," a report released on Wednesday by the nonprofit Universal Ecological Fund. If they're right, the cost of the damage would be equivalent to nearly half the president's proposed 2018 budget for the Department of Defense. "The evidence is undeniable. These recent extreme weather events are a continuation of a three-decades trend of increasing numbers, intensities and costs of severe storms, hurricanes, flooding, droughts and wildfires," said report co-author Robert Watson, a former chair of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change..."
Hurricane Harvey file photo of Houston: DoubleHorn Photography.
Cities Are Leading the Way on Climate Action. A story at TheHill explains: "...In California, cities are following Santa Monica’s lead in requiring all new homes be zero emissions. Even better, all new commercial buildings in the state will be zero emissions by 2030 — a big deal since buildings are generally the largest single carbon source in cities. Another major source is transportation. Here we see another set of solutions. This includes bike deliveries in Germany that eliminate idling delivery trucks fouling the air and taking up space. It’s mass transit investments and electric busses in L.A., a carbon neutral transportation system in Vancouver by 2020 and the phase out of gas engines in Beijing. Going a level deeper into infrastructure, some cities are cutting off fossil fuels at the source, like Portland and Seattle’s decision to prevent any new or expanded fossil fuel infrastructure. No new pipelines, port facilities or rail lines to ship out fossil fuels, and no new power plants to burn them..."
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