83 F. average high on July 13.
87 F. high on July 13, 2015.
July 14, 2003: At least eleven tornadoes hit Minnesota. Baseball-sized hail is reported at Indus in Koochiching County.
July 14, 1936: The all-time record high is reported in the Twin Cities, with 108 degrees at the downtown Minneapolis office. 71 people would die in the Twin Cities on this day due to the extreme heat.
July 14, 1916: Heavy downpours at New Ulm dump over seven inches of rain in seven hours.
Comfortable 48 Hours. Summer Sizzles Next Week
"I'm only human, born to make mistakes" sang the Human League. Ah, the 80s. Great tune honey, but do you HAVE to make it MY ringtone?
Meteorology is more quest than career; we are continuously learning, tweaking, calibrating. Apologizing.
It's not an exact science - like economics or foreign policy.
It's human nature to remember the times we're wrong, not the majority of time the forecast is fairly close. It's a strange gig.
People like to blame us for weather they don't like. Professional hazard. I'm going to get an earful next week as Minnesota heats up, probably the hottest spell of the summer.
A sucker punch of cool, comfortable air today temporarily distracts us from next week's inevitable heat wave. Highs hold in the 70s with instability showers. Friday looks sunnier and drier, but a wave of showers and T-showers arrives late Saturday into Sunday morning.
Heat builds next week; ECMWF guidance hints at mid to upper 90s the latter half of next week - with a heat index above 100F. Seriously hot.
Panting? Howling? The Dog Days of July are showing up on the horizon.
* Photo of the digital thermometer at Fairbanks, Alaska International Aiport on Wednesday courtesy of Facebook.
Photo credit: "
Flooding Washes Out Roads in Northern Wisconsin. Here's a snippet from Wisconsin Public Radio: "Wisconsin Emergency Management officials are working with several agencies and counties to address washed out roads and flooding in northern Wisconsin. As much as 10 inches of rain fell overnight across parts of northern Wisconsin. Wisconsin Emergency Management spokesman Todd Pritchard said they’re still getting an idea of the damage. "Ashland, Bayfield and Iron counties were hit pretty hard on this one," he said. "We are getting reports that Saxon Harbor has some pretty substantial damage. A lot of boats that were in that area were damaged..."
Photo credit: "Flooding at Saxon Harbor Tuesday." DNR/Iron County Forestry Dept.
Two of the 3 survey teams have completed their investigations. Litchfield Tornado Damage Survey Results: EF-2 strength with a max wind of 115 mph. Length was 1 mile with a max width of 150 feet;
Watkins Tornado Damage Survey results: EF-2 strength with max wind of 125 mph. Length: 2 miles. Max width: 600 feet.
Animation credit: "The loop shows radar reflectivity (left) and storm relative velocity (right) for 2 hours from 5 PM to 7 PM CDT. The storm southwest of Litchfield showed rotation as it moved northeast toward St Cloud MN."
The 10 Hottest Counties in the U.S. Send this link to a friend in Naples. Here's an excerpt from The San Jose Mercury News: "...WeatherDB, a weather data site that's part of Graphiq, wanted to find out which 10 counties experience the hottest weather. Using NOAA's Global Historical Climatology Network, WeatherDB ranked the 10 hottest counties to live based off of annual weather data collected from weather stations across the U.S. from 1981 to 2010. Counties are ranked by their average temperature, and those with a population of less than 100,000 people were not considered. Ties were broken by a county's average high temperature..."
In Warming Oceans, Stronger Currents Releasing Heat in Bigger Storms, Study Says. InsideClimate News has a summary of recent research; here's an excerpt: "Global warming is intensifying some of the world's most important ocean currents, new research shows, raising the risk of damaging storms along heavily populated coastlines of China and Japan. The findings are sobering as China and Taiwan rebound from the devastating effects of super typhoon Nepartak last week. The western boundary currents, which run along the eastern coasts of South Africa, Asia, Australasia, and South America, carry massive amounts of heat from the tropics northward. The recent research by a group of scientists with the Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research in Germany found they are strengthening, warming and moving poleward..."
TODAY: Clouds, few showers, mainly PM hours. Winds: NW 10-15. High: 73
THURSDAY NIGHT: Evening sprinkle, then clearing. Low: 59
FRIDAY: Sunnier, drier - a nicer day. Winds: NW 7-12. High: 78
SATURDAY: Showers, possible T-storms arrive. Winds: S 10-15. Wake-up: 60. High: 80
SUNDAY: Warmer, stickier - few T-storms. Winds: SE 7-12. Wake-up: 66. High: 83
MONDAY: Partly sunny, isolated T-shower. Winds: E 5-10. Wake-up: 67. High: 87
TUESDAY: Steamy sunshine, heating up. Winds: SE 5-10. Wake-up: 68. High: near 90
WEDNESDAY: Seriously hot and humid, feels like 100F+ Wake-up: 75. High: 95
How Climate Change Could Threaten Wall Street? Think your portfolio is immune? Think again, according to a story at Christian Science Monitor: "Is climate change bad for business? According to the Global Risk Institute (GRI), a nonprofit based in Toronto, it may be. In a new report, GRI warned that global warming could present significant risks for financial institutions. “Given the financial service industry's heavily integrated role in society, it is particularly susceptible to the risks associated with climate change,” GRI wrote in its report. “It must therefore ensure that proper climate change strategies and risk management procedures are in place in order to remain viable...”
Photo credit: "A view of an oil refinery off the coast of Singapore, seen March 14, 2008. The Global Risk Institute is asking banks, insurers, and investors to shift their practices in light of climate change." Vivek Prakash/Reuters/File.
Meteorologist Need to Start Talking About Climate Change. No kidding. Here's a clip from Gizmodo: "...The role of the meteorologist in contemporary society is important but often invisible. They’re the people who remind us to grab a sweater or take an umbrella—sometimes on TV or the radio, more likely through a weather app on our phones. But they are also the only individuals that Americans receive advice from during potentially life-threatening weather. If a meteorologist is warning about an impending storm surge, wouldn’t it be helpful to know that those surges are likely to be worse due to rising sea levels—particularly if you live near the coast? “As a weather junkie as well as a climate scientist, I see it as our responsibility to include context,” Jason Samenow of the Capital Weather Gang told Gizmodo..."
Climate Change May Already Be Shifting Clouds Toward the Poles. NPR follows up on new research: "The way clouds cover the Earth may be changing because of global warming, according to a study published Monday that used satellite data to track cloud patterns across about two decades, starting in the 1980s. Clouds in the mid-latitudes shifted toward the poles during that period, as the subtropical dry zones expanded and the highest cloud-tops got higher. These changes are predicted by most climate models of global warming, even though those models disagree on a lot of other things related to clouds, says Joel Norris, a climate scientist at the University of California, San Diego..."
Photo credit: "About 70 percent of Earth is covered by clouds at any given moment. Their interaction with climate isn't easy to study, scientists say; these shape-shifters move quickly." NOAA/Flickr