72 F. peak dew point on Monday in St. Cloud.
83 F. average high on July 11.
81 F. high on July 11, 2015.
July 12, 1863: Unseasonably cool temperatures are felt across the state. Frost is reported in the Twin Cities area.
Peak Summer: Real Heat Wave Brewing Next Week?
“If you saw a heat wave, would you wave back?” asked comedian Steven Wright. We may get a chance to find out, first hand, next week.
My TV screen is already cluttered with back to school commercials, but please don't be fooled: we have plenty of summer left to enjoy. And endure.
Historically this is the hottest week of the year, when torrid heat from the desert southwest stands the best chance of reaching Minnesota. A splash of Canadian air drops temperatures into the 70s later this week, but models continue to hint at a full-frontal hot front next week. NOAA's GFS model prints out 100 degrees in the MSP metro the end of next week. I'm not buying it (yet) but you've been warned. 90s should be commonplace next week, with gasp-worthy heat indices lingering into late July, possibly longer.
The warmer the air, the more water vapor floating overhead - more moisture to spike storms. 4 to 6 inch rains fell Monday from near St. Cloud to Alexandria into the Brainerd Lakes area, with up to 8" in a few spots. That's 1-2 month's worth of rain in one day. On Sunday Sioux Falls set a gasp-worthy dew point record: 82F. More details below.
No, summer isn't even close to being over. The hottest days are yet to come.
Extreme Rainfall Amounts. What is ironic about this image is that the scale only goes up to 5" (darkest blue shade) so looking at derived Doppler-based rainfall accumulation it's hard to tell exactly how much really fell. We're getting ground truth of numerous 4-6"+ amounts across central and northern Minnesota.
Trending Comfortable Later This Week - Not So Much Next Week. As advertised in today's weather column models heat us up next week as the ridge axis begins to finally shift east. After enjoying 70s later this week 90s may return by Tuesday - with a run of 90s possible next week. I want to see a few more model runs and see if the solutions between ECMWF (above) and NOAA are consistent. Source: WeatherBell.
Graphic credit: "Running 12-month average global surface temperature using data compiled by Kevin Cowtan and Robert Way." Illustration: Dana Nuccitelli.
Photo credit: "The Fort McMurray wildfire in Canada, shortly after the blaze ignited on May 1."
* NOAA NCDC has the list here.
* China's Worst Flooding Since 1998. Bloomberg reports.
Photo credit: "
Photo credit: "Bottles of Hemelswater water: code blond beer." Photograph: Brouwerij de Prael.
TODAY: Sunny, a drier day. Winds: SW 10-15. High: 88
TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy and warm. Low: 68
WEDNESDAY: Unsettled, few T-storms likely. Winds: SW 10-15. High: 83
THURSDAY: Cooler, PM showers pop up. Winds: NW 10-15. Wake-up: 63. High: 78
FRIDAY: Comfortable, a few instability showers sprout. Winds: NW 7-12. Wake-up: 59. High: 77
SATURDAY: More sun, probably dry. Winds: S 3-8. Wake-up: 60. High: 82
SUNDAY: Hazy sun, a bit warmer. Winds: SE 7-12. Wake-up: 65. High: 85
MONDAY: Sticky sun, heating up. Winds: SE 7-12. Wake-up: 69. High: 89
Food Shortages and Sea Level Rise U.S. Voters' Top Climate Change Concerns. The Guardian has the story: "...Diminishing food and water security and ruinous sea level rise are the leading climate change concerns of a section of the American electorate that is aghast at the lack of discussion of global warming during the presidential debate. A Guardian US survey of its readers found that pressure on food and water supplies is considered the most important consequence of climate change. Sea level rise, which is set to inundate coastal areas currently occupied by millions of Americans, is second on the list of the most urgent issues..." (File photo: Nick Ut, AP).
Photo credit: "Climate activists outside U.S. Bancorp’s headquarters in Minneapolis."
NPR has more perspective here.
Another Inconvenient Truth: It's Hard To Agree How To Fight Climate Change. The New York Times reports; here's an excerpt: "...But the movement that started with a straightforward mission — to get more people to appreciate the dangers of climate change as a precursor to action — is feeling growing pains. What may seem like a unified front has pronounced schisms, with conflicting opinions on many issues, including nuclear power and natural gas, that are complicating what it means to be an environmentalist in this day and age. The factional boundaries are not hard and fast, with groups shifting their positions as the science and waves of activism evolve..." (File image: earth.nullschool.net).
Graphic credit: Real Climate
Image credit: "As sea levels rise in the next century, even a $3 billion wall won't keep Lower Manhattan above water."
Arctic Cruise Raises Hopes and Environmental Concerns. Yes, let's cruise NORTH of Canada and admire a rapidly-melting arctic. Alaska Dispatch News has the story; here's a clip: "...There are few opportunities for passengers to travel the sea route along the northern coast of North America. Even with global warming opening up the Northwest Passage, fewer than 50 passenger ships have completed the full transit, and those were largely yachts and expedition boats with at most a few hundred people. With 1,070 passengers and a crew of 655, the Serenity is giant in comparison. Its foray into these waters will test not only the ability of man and machine to avoid ice, but also the readiness of a multinational search and rescue coalition..."
Photo credit: "The 1,077 passenger capacity Crystal Serenity is planning a 32-day voyage through the Northwest Passage in the summer of 2016." (Courtesy Crystal Cruises).