82 F. average high on August 3.
79 F. high on August 3, 2015.
August 4, 1898: Storms dump 4 and a half inches of rain on Montevideo.
No, Meteorologists Don't Study Meteorites
For a "media-rologist" the worst fear is anonymity. "Maul Muglas? I'm sorry. Never heard of you. Please go away." For the better part of a generation I've heard: "You hype the weather for ratings!".
Uh no. But I'd rather be accused of hype than missing a big storm altogether, and having to answer "Paul, why was there no warning?" As a profession we tend to err on the side of caution and paranoia.
Meteorologists study "meteors", defined as anything in the air: hydrometeors (clouds), electrometeors (thunder & lightning) and luminous meteors (rainbows and coronas). But not the shooting star kind.
I'm handcuffed to the Doppler again today; a line of strong to severe T-storms may flare up along the leading edge of temporary relief. Dew points drop back into the 50s Friday and Saturday. Good sleeping weather! Weekend weather looks very nice with ample sunshine, reasonable humidity levels and highs near 80; just a slight chance of thunder south of MSP Sunday afternoon. 80s return next week but more free A/C from Canada may arrive by mid-August.
No extended streak of 90s brewing. For now.
Is The Heat Index Real? The short answer is yes. More context from Mental Floss: "...The heat index is the temperature it feels like to your body when you factor in both the actual air temperature and the amount of moisture in the air. If the heat index is 103°F, that means that the combination of heat and humidity has a similar physical impact on your body as it would if the actual air temperature were 103°F. Even though it’s tempting to think of the heat index as an exaggerated temperature that only exists to make the heat sound worse than it really is, scientists came up with the measurements after decades of medical and meteorological research devoted to studying the impact of heat and humidity on the human body. It’s the real deal..."
Image credit: "Improved resolution of newly announced NOAA weather forecast model." Courtesy of NOAA.
Countries Are Spending Millions to Control the Weather. Here's Why. Yahoo News has an interesting story and background: "This summer, China set aside $30 million for a controversial project that involves shooting salt-and-mineral-filled bullets into the sky. Their mission? Make it rain. The project is part of a larger campaign of so-called weather modification techniques that the country has been using since at least 2008, when they claim to have cleared the skies for the Beijing Olympics by forcing the rain to come early. China is far from the only nation trying to bring (or stop) the rain. At least 52 countries — including the United States — have current weather modification programs, 10 more countries than five years ago, according to the World Meteorological Organization..."
Photo credit: "African countries like Uganda are among the world's most ethnically diverse, and they are also vulnerable to climate change. New findings suggest peace will be harder to achieve and maintain in places like Uganda as the climate changes." Credit: AMISOM Public Information/Flickr
Planning for Disaster. Jacobin Magazine has an interesting post focused on the fairest, most equitable way of paying for the treadmill of disasters, current and future. Here's a clip: "...But when its eventual effects come to batter our door they will arrive at an exact address: floods and heat waves are intensely local disasters, and their history tells us that we are very much not in it together. Anywhere they strike the poorest residents are often hurt the most, lacking both the resources to rebuild and the protections that accrue to richer areas. If billions are being committed to fighting the effects of climate change, we should rightly be asking where they’re going, and who benefits. And we should ask now because the ball is already moving on local adaptation projects..."
Photo credit: "A home after Hurricane Sandy in Staten Island, NY in 2012." John de Guzmán / Flickr.
Evacuate or Stay? Technology is lulling us into a false sense of security when it comes to hurricanes. "Hey, I can see them coming satellite and radar - if it looks bad we can head inland at the last minute." Maybe not. Here's an excerpt of an excellent article at Medium: "...In all disasters, knowing when, where, and how to escape is key, which brings us to the hurricane problem. Hurricanes are survivable events. They don’t strike out of nowhere. We have a battalion of satellites, buoys, and airplanes to track their every move from their infancy over the sea to their kamikaze-like demise along our coastlines. Forecasters man 24-hour weather offices that, in most cases, give days of warning of an impending storm. Yet some 2,000 people have died, either directly or indirectly, from hurricanes in modern, 21st century-America..."
Photo credit: "Millions evacuate the Greater Houston metro area ahead of Hurricane Rita in 2005." Source: Public Domain.
Hurricane Drought Hits a New Record. No hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico for nearly 3 years? Scientific American explains: "Saturday was a quiet day across the Gulf of Mexico, but not one without note, because a strange record was set: It has been 1,048 days since a hurricane developed in or entered the Gulf. That is the longest streak in the past 130 years, since formal record-keeping began in 1886. The Atlantic hurricane season starts in June and lasts through the end of November. But the last storm in the Gulf was Hurricane Ingrid, which made landfall in northeastern Mexico in September 2013. "You have to have conditions just right for a hurricane to form, and the conditions haven't been ideal in the Gulf of Mexico in the last two years," says Robbie Berg, a hurricane specialist at the National Hurricane Center..."
Exxon Official Says a Ban on Fossil Fuel is Unrealistic. The Wall Street Journal has the story - here's an excerpt: "...The Exxon official said the company is concerned about the risks climate change poses, and that it encourages the use of renewable and other alternative fuels. But he said, for example, that even while the use of wind and solar power will rise faster than any other energy source through 2040, those two will still amount to less than 3% of total energy use. “There are billions of people who need to read, need to learn, need to improve their standard of living,” he said. “You simply cannot do this without fossil fuels...”
Photo credit: " Photo: Associated Press.
Our Consumption of Earth's Natural Resources Has More Than Tripled in 40 Years. What would sustainable markets, sustainable capitalism look like? Huffington Post has the details: "Limestone and steel for our homes, wheat and vegetables for our dinner, fossil fuels for our industries: we rely heavily on our planet’s natural resources to survive. Yet we’re using up these resources at such an unsustainable pace that we may be “irreversibly” depleting some of them ― and critically damaging our Earth in the process, according to a new United Nations report. The report from the International Resource Panel, part of the UN Environment Program, said extraction of primary materials has more than tripled in 40 years. Rising consumption driven by a rapidly growing middle class is fueling the rate..." (Image credit: NASA).
Image credit: inside4tech.com.
Nuclear Power and Renewables Don't Have To Be Enemies. New York Just Showed How. Here's a clip from an explainer at Vox: "Consider, if you will, two basic facts about clean energy in the United States. Nuclear power is the country’s largest source of carbon-free energy, supplying about 19 percent of our electricity, but it’s barely growing. Wind and solar are smaller, at about 8 percent, but they’re growing much more rapidly. Put those together, and you get an intuitive blueprint for reducing US carbon dioxide emissions: Protect the nuclear base, and then scale up wind and solar on top of that, displacing fossil fuels as you go. Seems reasonable, no?..." (Image credit: Shutterstock).
Image credit: Shutterstock.
TODAY: Very humid with T-storms, some severe. Winds: SW 8-13. High: 87
THURSDAY NIGHT: Evening thunder, then clearing and cooler. Low: 63
FRIDAY: Sunny and comfortable. Winds: NW 10-15. Dew point: 56. High: 79
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny and very pleasant. Winds: NW 5-10. Wake-up: 61. High: 80
SUNDAY: Warm sun, stray T-shower southern MN. Winds: SE 3-8. Wake-up: 61. High: 82
MONDAY: Hazy sun, sticky again. Wake-up: 65. High: 83
TUESDAY: Muggy, best chance of T-storms. Wake-up: 68. High: 86
WEDNESDAY: Tropical, just "hot enough" Winds: S 8-13. Wake-up: 71. High: 90
Photo credit: "Waterfront properties on Lake Union in Seattle." (Photo via Shutterstock).
* Download State of the Climate in 2015 from the American Meteorological Society.
Image credit: "Ocean heat content in 2015 and trends over time." Credit: NOAA
Photo credit: "Park visitors eating dinner at Cracker Lake, a glacial-fed lake in Glacier National Park's backcountry." Credit: Jacob Frank/National Park Service.
Photo credit: "Workers gather by street damage after Saturday night's flooding in Ellicott City, Maryland on, Sunday, July 31, 2016." Image: Kevin Rector/The Baltimore Sun via AP.
Photo credit: "Reindeer in eastern Siberia." Photographer: Andrey Rudakov/Bloomberg.
Photo credit: 'I was informed about the death of the boy in our hospital. There are no words to express my condition. I feel sorry, I pass my condolences to his parents'. Picture: Press Service of Yamalo-Nenetsk Governor's Office.
Illustration credit: Sam Dodge for Bloomberg.