12 F. maximum temperature yesterday in St. Cloud.
21 F. average high on January 8.
32 F. high in the cities on January 8, 2016.
January 9, 1982: Both January 9th and 10th would have some of the coldest windchills ever seen in Minnesota. Temperatures of -30 and winds of 40 mph were reported in Northern Minnesota. This would translate to windchills of -71 with the new windchill formula, and -100 with the old formula.
January 9, 1934: A sleet and ice storm hits southwest Minnesota. Hardest hit locations were Slayton, Tracy and Pipestone. The thickest ice was just east of Pipestone with ice measuring 6 to 8 inches in diameter. At Holland in Pipestone County three strands of #6 wire measured 4.5 inches in diameter and weighed 33 ounces per foot. The ice was described as: 'Very peculiar information being practically round on three sides, the lower side being ragged projectiles like icicles: in other words pointed. The frost and ice were wet, not flaky like frost usually is. In handling this, it could be squeezed into a ball and did not crumble.'
Arctic Air Fades - A Real January Thaw Brewing
"What good is the warmth of summer, without the cold of winter to give it sweetness" wrote John Steinbeck. Good point. These cold fronts give us something to talk about, other than politics and the Vikings.
We're coming out of a weak La Nina cooling phase in the Pacific Ocean, but the maps almost look like something out of a powerful El Nino warming event: a conga-line of big, powerful storms battering the west coast and a strong subtropical jet stream. You'll start to feel that milder, Pacific influence in coming days: 20s today & Tuesday; 30s one week from today with a little drizzle. NOAA's GFS model predicts 40s in 2 weeks. We'll see, but after one more (brief/fleeting) swipe of cold air later this week we enjoy a real January Thaw.
A slow-moving storm tracking into the Midwest may drop a few inches of snow between tonight and Wednesday; potentially plowable in some areas (at least 2 or 3 inches). After a numbing Friday temperatures finally recover next week.
If anyone asks - the coldest day of winter at MSP is January 15.
After that, average temperatures start to rise again. High five!
Photo credit: Stephanie Larsen Photography.
Major Western Storm. NOAA's 12 KM NAM guidance shows the Pacific storm pushing heavy rain and snow inland, and down the coast toward L.A. today. An area of low pressure tracking across the Midwest pushes an icy mix across the Dakotas and Minnesota, rain (green) across the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley and much of the east coast by Thursday. Animation: Tropicaltidbits.com.
Perspective on the atmospheric rivers creating the ongoing flood scenario for California and much of the west coast from Climate Signals.
Multiple Waves of Heavy Rain for California. GFS guidance continues to print out an additional 5-15" of liquid moisture for much of central and northern California over the next 2 weeks. Los Angeles and San Diego will see some rain, but the real disruptions will take place over NoCal in the coming days. 384-hour accumulated precipitation product: NOAA and Tropicaltidbits.com.
The Science Behind Why People Buy Bread When Snow Is In The Forecast. Here's an excerpt of a good explanation from Dr. Marshall Shepherd at Forbes: "...In the article The Psychology of Stockpiling, Laurie Dove actually explored aspects of this question too. She quoted Psychologist Lisa Brateman who pointed out, "the thought to get milk before a storm is followed by the action or compulsion to go out and stockpile it. In one way or another, we spend a lot of time and energy trying to feel in control, and buying things you might throw out still gives the person a sense of control in an uncontrollable situation." I interpret from Dove's logic that buying perishable items may convey that there is a sense of "temporary inconvenience" that can be endured as opposed to buying more durable items like canned goods that would signify a more traumatic situation. This argument suggests that psychological coping or control of some sort is at play..."
File photo credit: New York Times. " Credit Department of Defense Nuclear Information Analysis, via Reuters.
Solar Could Beat Coal to Become the Cheapest Power on Earth. Here's a clip from Bloomberg: "Solar power is now cheaper than coal in some parts of the world. In less than a decade, it’s likely to be the lowest-cost option almost everywhere. In 2016, countries from Chile to the United Arab Emirates broke records with deals to generate electricity from sunshine for less than 3 cents a kilowatt-hour, half the average global cost of coal power. Now, Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Mexico are planning auctions and tenders for this year, aiming to drop prices even further. Taking advantage: Companies such as Italy’s Enel SpA and Dublin’s Mainstream Renewable Power, who gained experienced in Europe and now seek new markets abroad as subsidies dry up at home. Since 2009, solar prices are down 62 percent, with every part of the supply chain trimming costs..." (File photo: Apple).
Photo credit: "
MONDAY: Light snow, slick roads. Winds: SE 5-10. High: 22
MONDAY NIGHT: Light snow - couple inches possible. Low: 21
TUESDAY: Snow tapers, turning colder. Winds: NW 10-20. High: 29
WEDNESDAY: More light snow streaks in. Winds: NW 8-13. Wake-up: 8. High: 14
THURSDAY: Lot's of clouds, feels like -10F. Winds: NW 10-20. Wake-up: 4. High: 11
FRIDAY: Yukon sleepover. Light winds. Winds: NW 5-10. Wake-up: -7. High: 5
SATURDAY: Partly sunny, temperatures recover. Winds: NW 5-10. Wake-up: 0. High: 21
SUNDAY: Fading sun, above average temps. Winds: SE 5-10. Wake-up: 11. High: 28
Photo credit: Imara Hixon.
Image credit: "On September 16, 2012, Arctic sea ice extent was at its lowest level since satellite monitoring began in 1979. This view of Earth, centered on the Arctic, is a mosaic of images taken on September 2, 2012 by NASA’s Suomi-NPP satellite." Photo courtesy of NASA.
More information on NASA's Suomi NPP satellite platform here.
As Earth Gets Hotter, Scientists Break New Ground Linking Climate Change to Extreme Weather. Here's an excerpt of a post at Environmental Defense Fund: "...The World Weather Attribution project, an international effort “to sharpen and accelerate the scientific community’s ability to analyze and communicate the possible influence of climate change on extreme-weather events,” now conducts initial analyses in near real time. In 2016, this project covered the March coral bleaching in the Pacific Ocean, the May European rain storms, the August Louisiana floods, the extreme Arctic warming during November and December, and the December cold air outbreak over the United States – all significant weather events. In four of the five events, scientists found links to human-caused climate change, with the December cold air outbreak being the only event without a discernible human fingerprint..."
Photo credit: "A large rift in Antarctica's Larsen C ice shelf, photographed by NASA's IceBridge mission on Nov. 10, 2016. The rift surged ahead by about 10 miles in late December." Credit: NASA/John Sonntag