44 F. average high on March 26.
35 F. high on March 26, 2015.
March 27, 1946: A record high of 78 is set at Redwood Falls.
An Easter Wish - Arctic Fun Returns Next Weekend
"A man who was completely innocent, offered himself as a sacrifice for the good of others, including his enemies, and became the ransom of the world. It was a perfect act" said Mahatma Gandhi.
May our better angels prevail in the months and years to come.
My mushy lawn is greening up nicely, the neighbor next door racing to get his dock in the water. I keep glancing at the calendar, wondering how we managed to skip a month?
Like an exclamation point at the end of a poorly-worded sentence - one more harsh, quick slap of arctic air reaches Minnesota Saturday with single-digit wind chills.
By Sunday highs may not climb out of the 20s, in spite of a pleading sun. The good news: it won't stay cold for long - 50s return by the middle of next week. Deep breaths.
In the meantime the sun peeks out today; 60F will feel like a revelation Tuesday with a few thunderclaps by nightfall. Cold air comes in two waves, starting Thursday, with a rerun of early February arriving Sunday.
Models suggest rapid warming and a few big rain storms the first half of April. Have a blessed Easter.
Disaster-Ready. FEMA has a new app that seems like a good addition to your smartphone - like insurance you don't need it until you need it. You can load a few different locations and have all the information you need at your fingertips, even if the power goes out. The old Boy Scout motto comes to mind. Be Prepared.
Map credit: U.S. Drought Monitor.
Image credit above: "Projections of various forecast models for the evolution of SSTs in the Niño3.4 region over the next few months. These forecasts were compiled and released in mid-March. El Niño is in place when SSTs are at least 0.5°C above average for five overlapping three-month periods. La Niña is defined the same way, except that SSTs are below rather than above average. The bottom axis shows abbreviations for three-month intervals (e.g., JJA is June-July-August)." Image credit: International Research Institute for Climate and Society.
New Research Links Radar Data to Tornado Intensity. This makes sense intuitively: the higher debris is lofted into the atmosphere, the more extreme the tornado circulation. Meteorologist Tyler Jankoski filed a good story at NBC Connecticut; here's a clip: "...Researchers at the National Weather Service in Jackson, Mississippi have found a strong correlation between the height of tornado debris signatures and the approximate strength of tornadoes. Tornadoes are classified as weak (EF0 and EF1), strong (EF2 and EF3) or violent (EF4 and EF5). Many studies have at least noted the potential for a relationship between TDS height and tornado strength, including Schultz et al. in 2012 and Bodine et al. in 2013. Most recently in 2015, Chad Entremont and Daniel Lamb analyzed every TDS starting back in 2010, when dual polarization upgrades on the U.S. radar network started..."
Wind Power Transmission in Plains Earns U.S. Approval. This is a big step in getting clean, renewable sources of electricity from where it's been generated to where it's needed, as reported by The New York Times: "...Energy officials have been urging significant extensions and upgrades to the nation’s transmission system for years but there has been little new construction since the 1980s. And although the push to enhance the grid has gained urgency as renewables have spread, thousands of miles of long-haul lines have not yet gained approval. Allowing the project, called Plains and Eastern, to go ahead could encourage the spread of low-carbon electricity and increase system reliability at a reasonable cost to consumers, the department said..."
EASTER SUNDAY: Gray AM, slow PM clearing as skies brighten. Winds: NW 8-13. High: 47
SUNDAY NIGHT: Patchy clouds, a little fog. Low: 34
MONDAY: Partly sunny, mostly-feverish. Winds: NW 5-10. High: 57
TUESDAY: Clouds increase, late thunder? Winds: SE 10-20. Wake-up: 39. High: near 60
WEDNESDAY: Showers linger - cooling off. Winds: NE 10-15. Wake-up: 48. High: 52
THURSDAY: Rain may end as a light mix, raw. Winds: N 10-15. Wake-up: 43. High: 46
FRIDAY: Ragged, sprinkles and flurries. Winds: NE 10-20. Wake-up: 36. High: 42
SATURDAY: Arctic front arrives, winds gust over 30 mph. Winds: NW 15-35+ Wake-up: 34. High: 37 (falling)
Carbon Emissions Highest in 66 Million Years, Since Dinosaur Age. Here's the lead to a story at Reuters: "The rate of carbon emissions is higher than at any time in fossil records stretching back 66 million years to the age of the dinosaurs, according to a study on Monday that sounds an alarm about risks to nature from man-made global warming. Scientists wrote that the pace of emissions even eclipses the onset of the biggest-known natural surge in fossil records, 56 million years ago, that was perhaps driven by a release of frozen stores of greenhouse gases beneath the seabed..."
Photo credit above: "A chimney is seen in front of residential buildings during a polluted day in Harbin, Heilongjiang Province, China, January 21, 2016." Reuters/Stringer.
Meteorologists Overwhelmingly Conclude Climate Change is Real and Human-Caused. Here's an excerpt from Jason Samenow at Capital Weather Gang: "...Seventeen percent of respondents to the survey said their views about climate change had changed over the past five years and, of those, most (87 percent) said they are more convinced than ever that human-caused changes are happening. They were most persuaded by new peer-reviewed studies, the growing scientific consensus on climate change, and evidence of climate change where they live. “[I]t does appear that more meteorologists are now more convinced that human-caused climate change is happening,” said Ed Maibach, lead author of the survey findings and director of George Mason’s Center for Climate Change Communication..."
Map credit above: "
Image credit: " Emily Michot.
“You can’t be on the ground in Asia, Africa, or the Middle East and not see what’s happening,” said Christine Parthemore, a former Pentagon official who now serves as the executive director of the Center for Climate & Security, a think tank.
“I think that is why we’ve seen so many defense, intelligence, and diplomatic leaders start growing concerned about the security implications of climate change far earlier than our political leaders, academic researchers, or the general public,” she said..."
Spike in Global Temperature Fuels Climate Change Fears. According to climate scientist Michael Mann about 50% of the recent (historic) warming is coming from greenhouse gases, 25% from El Nino and another 25% from natural cycles and circulations. El Nino is winding down, but we continue to track unusual warmth. Here's an excerpt at The Sydney Morning Herald: "...Complacency should be avoided, therefore, when the mercury's record run inevitably ends in coming months as the El Nino unwinds. "It's important to take this hot spike as a reminder that this is a really urgent problem" said Professor Rahmstorf, who until last week was also a visiting professorial fellow at the University of NSW. "We are running out of time to avoid a 2-degree world." The UK Met Office estimated last year we are roughly half way there, based on the estimated average of the 1850-1900 period..."
Image credit above: "Each of the past 10 months has been a record for global surface temperatures, a US agency says." Photo: Planetary Visions Ltd.
Photo credit above: "A shoreline at Plum Island, a barrier island in Massachusetts." Credit: Wesley Fryer/Flickr.