69 F. average high on May 15.
63 F. maximum temperature at KSTC on May 15, 2015.
May 16, 1934: An extreme hot spell results in temperatures over 100 across parts of Minnesota, and record highs of 94 in St. Cloud and Minneapolis.
A Week That Restores Your Faith in a Minnesota May
Weather is an apt metaphor for life: storms of unhappiness, squalls of bad news; careening around puddles of misfortune. And then the sun comes out, birds begin to chirp, and you remember how good it is to be alive. This week will be one of those happy chapters.
One last swirl of cold air aloft sparks a few afternoon showers; otherwise I see a dry week with slowly warming temperatures. Expect 70s the latter half of the week; sticky 80s possible Sunday and Monday. In little over a week we will go from complaining about wind chill to whining about bugs & humidity. Wait for it.
ECMWF models hint at a few severe T-storms early next week, but it's remarkable how quiet it's been here; fewer hail and tornado-producing storms than usual. June is, historically, the wettest, most severe month of the year in Minnesota - so it's premature to let our guard down yet.
Meanwhile flood-weary residents of Texas and the Gulf Coast get doused again this week. And April was the 7th month in a row of "hottest months" worldwide; 2016 on track to be the warmest year on record.
Graphic credit: "Global mean surface temperature for El Nino years". Data source: GISS NASA.
Lloyd's of London Urges U.S. Government To Stop Insuring Floods. Financial Times ran an article that made me do a double-take; here's an excerpt: "Lloyd’s of London insurers have called on the US government to stop providing cover for flood damage, arguing that state support has become unsustainable and encourages irresponsible housebuilding. The national flood insurance programme has 5.2m policyholders, takes in about $3.4bn in premiums a year and covers $1.3tn worth of assets. But it has racked up debt of $23bn, mainly because of the costs from disasters such as Hurricane Katrina and Superstorm Sandy..." (File photo: NOAA).
Weather Prediction: It's Math! Lot's and lot's of math - calculus that still gives me night-sweats. Here's an excerpt from NOAA: "Dutifully processing 2.8 quadrillion mathematical calculations per second around the clock, these computers — each about the size of a school bus — are the nucleus of weather and climate forecasting in the United States and the calculations they make are the foundation of NOAA’s life-saving weather predictions. Every day, the supercomputers collect and organize billions of earth observations, such as temperature, air pressure, moisture, wind speed and water levels, which are critical to initialize all numerical weather prediction models. All these observations are represented by numbers..."
Photo credit: "
America's Shrinking Middle Class: A Close Look at Changes Within Metropolitan Areas. Why are we so angry? New findings from Pew Research Center offers strong clues: "The American middle class is losing ground in metropolitan areas across the country, affecting communities from Boston to Seattle and from Dallas to Milwaukee. From 2000 to 2014 the share of adults living in middle-income households fell in 203 of the 229 U.S. metropolitan areas examined in a new Pew Research Center analysis of government data. The decrease in the middle-class share was often substantial, measuring 6 percentage points or more in 53 metropolitan areas, compared with a 4-point drop nationally..."
Map credit: Center for Public Integrity analysis of Federal Communications Commission, Census Bureau data. Road map by Stamen Design (CC BY 3.0), OpenStreetMap contributors.
Photo credit: "University of California doctoral student Mya Le Thai holds a nanowire device that has the potential to enable hundreds of thousands of recharges in a lithium-ion battery." Credit: Steve Zylius/UCI
Image credit: "Jiggle jiggle jiggle." GIF via Vortex Bladeless/YouTube.
TODAY: Some sun, then clouds increase. Passing shower likely. Winds: NW 7-12. High: 64
MONDAY NIGHT: Evening sprinkle, then clearing. Low: 44
TUESDAY: Bright sun, much nicer. Winds: NE 7-12. High: 67
WEDNESDAY: Sunny, pretty close to perfect. Wake-up: 46. High: near 70
THURSDAY: Lukewarm sun, distractingly nice. Winds: S 8-13. Wake-up: 51. High: 74
FRIDAY: Intervals of sun, cabin-worthy. Winds: S 10-15. Wake-up: 53. High: 73
SATURDAY: Potentially postcard perfect. Sunny. Winds: S 7-12. Wake-up: 56. High: 77
SUNDAY: Blue sky with a warm breeze. Wake-up: 60. High: near 80
Graphic credit: "Global mean temperature anomaly (vs 1951-1980 mean), month of April only." CREDIT: NASA.
Illustration credit: Eric Morgan, Scripps Institution of Oceanography.
Image credit: "The future of the globe used to look a lot brighter." ToastyKen.
Photo credit: Charles Rex Arbogast/AP.