June 14, 1981: A tornado hits Roseville, destroying homes and damages Har Mar Mall.
June 14, 1956: 8 inches of rain fall in the Ivanhoe area in 3.5 hours. 100 thousand dollars in damage to crops is reported.
June 14, 1943: Torrential downpours cause flooding in the Twin Cities and east central Minnesota. 2.5 inches of rain fall in St. Paul in two hours. In addition, four streetcars are hit by lightning.
Another Smear of Rain - Dangerous Heat Predicted for Phoenix
"How do you people live up there?" a friend in Phoenix inquired. In January. "We pile on more clothes. Dress in layers. It's not so bad" I said, probably sounding a little defensive.
But you can only take off so much clothing when torrid heat bubbles up, without police showing up. A massive ridge of high pressure will spark suffocating heat for the southwestern USA later this week; Phoenix may hit 120F by Sunday (air temperature). I may have to call my friend in Scottsdale with a gentle reminder. "You're living in a desert!"
Another round of showers and T-storms arrive today; a half inch or more of rain may fall by early Wednesday. A welcome spell of dry, sun-drenched weather kicks in Wednesday afternoon into much of the weekend as temperatures mellow. Plan on 80s Friday and Saturday, with ashot at low 90s by Sunday. Not Phoenix-hot, but hot enough for cannonballs out on the lake. Summer, the way we knew it could be.
Meanwhile ECMWF "European" guidance hints at a tropical system off the Mid Atlantic coast by Sunday. With a brewing La Nina this may be a busier year for hurricanes.
* The 00z NAM guidance from NOAA predicts .85" of additional rain by Wednesday morning at MSP.
Image credit: "Global mean surface temperature for El Nino years." Data source: GISS NASA
Excessive Heat Watch. Much of southern and central Arizona is under an Excessive Heat Watch, which may have to be upgraded to a warning by the weekend as air temperatures climb above 115F. In fact a high of 120F in Phoenix is not out of the question by Sunday. Graphic: Aeris AMP.
We Are Fleeing The World's Coasts. Kate Yoder has the story at Grist; here's a clip: "...And people may already be responding to the planet’s not-so-subtle signals that coastal areas may not a safe place to live in the future. According to a new study from Environmental Research Letters, population growth patterns have indicated a slight distribution away from coastlines. The share of population that lives 124 miles from the coast has decreased slightly in recent years, from 52 percent in 1990 to 51 percent in 2010. Wait! One percentage point may be a subtle change, but it’s likely contrary to what you’ve heard before, since there’s a common understanding that people are actually moving toward the coasts. And on a global scale, many more people live in coastal areas today than in the past — about five times as many as in 1900, Fast Company reports..."
Montana Family Captures Terrifying Footage of Very Close Call with a Tornado. Rated PG for salty language. Here's an excerpt from Mashable: "If you were being chased by a tornado, you would probably curse too. In terrifying footage posted by Travis Hatfield on YouTube and Facebook, Hatfield's wife, Holly, films a tornado that is a little too close for comfort. The tornado hit Baker, Montana, just before 7 p.m. on Saturday. It completely destroyed two homes and damaged at least 30 more, reported KXNews, the local CBS affiliate. There were no reported fatalities..."
Save the Climate and Protect America: Build an "Underground Energy Interstate" Now. I found an Op-Ed at Capital Weather Gang fairly convincing; here's the intro: "The two greatest threats the United States (and other nations) face could be solved by a single infrastructure project that could be done now with existing technology. The threat the Democrats see is climate change. The threat the Republicans see is terrorism on a massive scale. There are weapons, called Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) nuclear bombs, currently in the hands of nations such as North Korea that could be in the hands of terrorists in 15 years. An EMP bomb placed high above Kansas City, Kan., could wipe out the U.S. electric system and much of our digital electronics..."
File photo credit: "
Solar Is Going To Get Ridiculously Cheap. Fortune reports: "Solar will become the cheapest source to produce power in many countries over the next 15 years, according to a new report from Bloomberg New Energy Finance. Part of the cheap solar power will be unleashed because the cost of installing solar panels at big solar farms and on rooftops will drop 60% to an estimated average of around four cents per kilowatt hour by 2040, the report said. That’s cheaper than coal and natural gas power in many regions..."
File photo: Utility Dive.
Apple is Making So Much Clean Energy it Formed a New Company to Sell It. The Verge has details; here's the intro: "Apple has created a subsidiary to sell the excess electricity generated by its hundreds of megawatts of solar projects. The company, called Apple Energy LLC, filed a request with the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission to sell power on wholesale markets across the US. The company has announced plans for 521 megawatts of solar projects globally. It's using that clean energy to power all of its data centers, as well as most of its Apple Stores and corporate offices. In addition, it has other investments in hydroelectric, biogas, and geothermal power, and looks to purchase green energy off the grid when it can't generate its own power. In all, Apple says it generates enough electricity to cover 93 percent of its energy usage worldwide..." (File photo: Apple Inc.)
Graphic credit: Bloomberg New Energy Finance.
What Do Scientists Do When They Think They Might Have Intercepted Alien Signals. Run for the hills? Make popcorn? No idea, but I found a story at Atlas Obscura somewhat reassuring; here's a clip: "...Imagine that you’re an astronomer, working in your lab, day in and day out, analyzing signals from space. Waves of energy pass through, you measure them, you calculate what they mean—what stars, asteroids, quasars, black holes, and planets are doing very, very far away from here. One day, a strange signal registers on your instruments. You check that it’s not an equipment error. You start running through possible explanations, all the obvious ones and the less obvious ones. Nothing fits. You know the signal is not coming from this planet. Maybe you start thinking that one possible explanation, as unlikely as it may be, is that you’ve come across a sign of extraterrestrial intelligence..."
TODAY: More showers, T-storms move in. Winds: E 10-15. High: 76
TUESDAY NIGHT: Showers and T-storms, locally heavy rain. Low: 66
WEDNESDAY: Wet start, then slow PM clearing. Winds: W 10-15. High: 77
THURSDAY: Sunny and pleasant, relatively low humidity. Winds: NE 5-10. Wake-up: 62. High: near 80
FRIDAY: Sunny and warmer. Leave early. Winds: SE 10-15. Wake-up: 63. High: 84
SATURDAY: Sticky sun, isolated storm far north and west. Winds: S 10-15. Wake-up: 66. High: 86
SUNDAY: Dog Days of June return. Plenty hot. Winds: S 10-15. Wake-up: 69. High: 92
MONDAY: Humid with a few showers and T-storms likely. Winds: N 5-10. Wake-up: 70. High: 84
* Check out the podcast interview with author Shawn Otto at Ikonocast.
The Mistrust of Science. Continuing the the theme, here's an excerpt of a recent New Yorker article: "...To defend those beliefs, few dismiss the authority of science. They dismiss the authority of the scientific community. People don’t argue back by claiming divine authority anymore. They argue back by claiming to have the truer scientific authority. It can make matters incredibly confusing. You have to be able to recognize the difference between claims of science and those of pseudoscience. Science’s defenders have identified five hallmark moves of pseudoscientists. They argue that the scientific consensus emerges from a conspiracy to suppress dissenting views. They produce fake experts, who have views contrary to established knowledge but do not actually have a credible scientific track record. They cherry-pick the data and papers that challenge the dominant view as a means of discrediting an entire field. They deploy false analogies and other logical fallacies. And they set impossible expectations of research: when scientists produce one level of certainty, the pseudoscientists insist they achieve another..."
Photo credit: "Peabody Energy has funded dozens of groups that question climate science, analysis shows." Photograph: Jeff Roberson/AP
Its presence loomed larger this year, as 65 percent of survey respondents reported being concerned about the potential impact of climate change and rising sea levels on the real-estate market. According to the survey, buyers did not share the sentiment; only 22 percent mentioned it as an issue.Image credit: Miami Herald.
Globalization is Worsening the Effects of Climate Change, Study says. Here's the intro of a story at Cantech Letter: "A new study shows that economic losses caused by climate change felt in one part of the world are producing ripple effects everywhere else, thanks to globalization. Researchers at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany and Columbia University in the United States looked at manufacturing and production data in 186 countries covering 26 global industries, ranging from mining to textiles and telecommunications, and matched up results with existing research on temperature effects on workers between the years 1991 and 2011. The results showed that heat-stress induced production losses have been further amplified by the global connectivity of today’s economies..."