Near Record Warmth For The Deer Opener

Minnesota Deer Opener Weather

 

The Minnesota Climatology Office has put together some past Deer Opener Weather. For more information, click here. Check out the weather for the Deer Opener this year below!

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Twin Cities Election Day Weather

Tuesday is Election Day! The Minnesota Climatology Office put together some past Presidential Election Day Weather for the Twin Cities. The warmest was back in 2008 with a high of 71. Highs this year will be in the upper 50s with mainly sunny skies. Here's a quick look at past Presidential Election Day Weather for the Twin Cities:

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Recent Warm Temperatures Delaying Fall Fertilizer Application

Here's an interesting side effect from our continued warm weather across the region - soil temperatures are still too warm for fertilizer application across much of the state. Read more from the Minnesota Department of Agriculture: "The Minnesota Department of Agriculture (MDA) advises farmers and fertilizer applicators to check soil temperatures before fall application of ammonium-based nitrogen fertilizers. Warm weather this season has kept soil temperatures around the state from dropping below 50˚ F, the recommended temperature to apply nitrogen and avoid fertilizer loss. On average, soil temperatures reach 50˚ F during the first week in October in northern Minnesota and the fourth week of October in southern Minnesota. However, that has not happened this year, with soil temps remaining above 50˚ F in many parts of the state."
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Near Record Warmth For The Deer Opener
By D.J. Kayser, filling in for Paul Douglas
70s in November? Can that happen? Or did we go through a change in latitude that I somehow missed?
Our warm stretch of weather continues again today as highs climb toward 70 with some passing clouds. We could even make a run toward the record of 71, set back in 2001. This will also be the warmest Minnesota Deer Opener in recent history. Most recently it was 67 back in 2004 and 64 in 2009 in the metro.
Hitting 70 in November is certainly rare, but it has happened before. Through 2015, the Twin Cities has hit 70 or higher 31 times, and we even did it twice last year (on November 2nd and 3rd). Temperatures today won't be approaching the warmest November temperature, however – that was 77, set in 1999 and 1933.
Warm weather, though not quite as warm as today, will stick around as we head into next week. Highs will remain above average for this time of year through at least next Friday before a potential cool down works in for the middle of the month.
Enjoy the warmth. The other shoe has to drop at some point... I think.

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Extended Forecast for Minneapolis

SATURDAY: A few passing clouds. High 69. Low 47. Chance of precipitation 0%. Wind S 3-5 mph.
SUNDAY: Some PM clouds. Warm weather continues. High 67. Low 48. Chance of precipitation 0%. Wind S 5-10 mph.
MONDAY: A touch cooler with afternoon showers. High 60. Low 44. Chance of precipitation 30%. Wind SW 5-10 mph.
TUESDAY: Gradually clearing skies. High 58. Low 42. Chance of precipitation 0%. Wind NW 3-7 mph.
WEDNESDAY: Above average weather continues. High 60. Low 45. Chance of precipitation 0%. Wind SE 3-7 mph.
THURSDAY: Perfect November day. High 58. Low 46. Chance of precipitation 0%. WInd SW 5-10 mph.
FRIDAY: Mix of clouds and sun. High 57. Low 41. Chance of precipitation 0%. Wind NE 5-10 mph.

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Climate Stat Pack From November 4th (through 7 PM)

High Friday: 68

Low Friday Morning: 41

Precipitation: 0.00"

Rainfall since January 1st: 35.20" (+7.29" above average)

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This Day in Weather History
November 5th

1941: A snowstorm hits southern Minnesota, with the heaviest snow at Fairmont.

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Average Temperatures & Precipitation for Minneapolis
November 5th

Average High: 48F (Record: 71F set in 2001)
Average Low: 32F (Record: 3F set in 1951)
Average Precipitation: 0.07" (Record: 0.93" set in 1948)
Average Snow: 0.2" (Record: 4.2" in 1959)
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Sunrise/Sunset Times for Minneapolis
November 5th

Sunrise: 7:58 AM
Sunset: 5:55 PM
*Length Of Day: 9 hours, 57 minutes and 19 seconds
*Daylight Lost Since Yesterday: ~2 minutes and 40 second

*Next Sunrise That Is BEFORE 7 AM: November 6th (6:59 am) (Due to time shift "fall back" that occurs that morning)

*Next Sunset That Is At/Before 5 PM: November 6th (4:54 pm) (Due to time shift "fall back" that occurs that morning)

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Minnesota Weather Outlook

The endless warmth continues across the region for the Deer Opener Saturday as highs climb into the 60s and 70s across much of the state. This isn't ideal weather for the Deer Opener, of course, but Mother Nature just doesn't want to flip the switch to winter just yet. Even the coolest spots across the state should see highs in the upper 50s.

This map doesn't look like it is November 5th at all! Highs will be 15-25 degrees above average as we head throughout the day Saturday across the region.

As we look out into the future, we look to stay warm over the next week across the Twin Cities, with highs continuing to be in the 50s and 60s. It's not until we work into the middle of the month that we see the potential of temperatures starting to cool a little bit. Our stretch without a 32 degree reading in the Twin Cities will continue for the foreseeable future, and based off this we should smash the previous latest first freeze on record (November 7th, 1900).

Precipitation chances are slim across Minnesota and the Upper Midwest as we head through Tuesday. We might be able to squeeze out a tenth of an inch of rain across the area Monday as a system moves through, however, the best available moisture will be to our north and south.

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National Weather Stories

Some locations in the Northwest already saw their wettest October on record last month, and Saturday will bring much of the same to the region with more rainfall. Meanwhile, storms are possible across parts of the central and southern Plains/Rockies, with some snow possible in parts of the Colorado Rockies where 3-6" will be possible for areas like Telluride. Some rain and snow will be possible across New England, with a dusting up to two inches of snow likely for parts of northern New Hampshire and Vermont as well as western Maine.

The coolest weather Saturday will be in New England, with highs only making it into the 30s and 40s in spots. Across the rest of the country, warmth continues, with 70s as far north as parts of South Dakota and Minnesota.

Highs Saturday will be below average across parts of Texas and New Mexico where rain is expected, and along the Eastern Seaboard. Most of the rest of the country will be above average on Saturday, with the warmest departures across parts of the Upper Midwest and Northern Plains.

The heaviest rain through Tuesday across the nation will be in the Pacific Northwest and across parts of Southern Plains and Southwest. Some of the rain is desperately needed - parts of Kansas have had little to no rain over the past 30 days!
Election Day Forecast

Election Day could hold the potential of rain in parts of the Pacific Northwest, Southern Plains, Middle/Lower Mississippi Valley and into the Northeast. A few snow showers could mix in across parts of far northern New England.

Highs across the nation will range from the 50s across the northern United States to the 80s across the far southern parts of the nation.

The Great Salt Lake Is Drying Up

Due to recent drought and a changing climate, the Great Salt Lake is drying up. Take a look at the two images above taken 5 years apart, showing exposed lake bed in Farmington Bay. More from the NASA Earth Observatory: "Five years of drought in the American West have contributed to the recent drop in the water line, as have higher-than-normal temperatures. But the region has seen dry cycles before, and according to scientists, there has not been a significant long-term change in precipitation in the basin. Nonetheless, the volume of water in Great Salt Lake has shrunk by 48 percent and the lake level has fallen 3.4 meters (11 feet) since 1847."

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Thanks for checking in and have a great Saturday! Don't forget to follow me on Twitter (@dkayserwx) and like me on Facebook (Meteorologist D.J. Kayser)!

 - D.J. Kayser