Thursday, November 3, 2016

Fantastic Friday. Near Record Warmth on Saturday?

Thursday Sunrise
Here was my view of the sunrise early Thursday morning. What a beautiful day it was with high temp nearly 10F to 15F above average!

Visible Satellite Thursday
After a few morning clouds, it was hard to spot a PM cloud across the state. If you like the sunshine, you'll like the upcoming forecast Friday and Saturday, which will likely feature mostly sunny skies across the region.
 
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""You heard it here first": Man predicted Cubs World Series win in 1993 yearbook"
I honestly don't know what to think of this... but according to CBSSports, someone from a graduating class of 1993 predicted that the Cubs would win the World Series in 2016! Take a look... What do you think?
"It’s a quote that has stuck with Los Angeles Dodgers fan Marcos Meza for decades: “Chicago Cubs. 2016. World Champions. You heard it here first.” His classmate Mike Lee, a die-hard Chicago Cubs fan living in California, made the prediction in Mission Viejo High School’s 1993 class yearbook. “I thought it was so funny that I never forgot it,” Meza, who has known Lee since seventh grade, told CBS News. Twenty-three years later, as the Cubs win the World Series in Game 7 with a 8-7 nail-biting victory over the Cleveland Indians, the internet is going wild. When Meza connected with Lee on Facebook back in 2009, he sent him a picture of his old yearbook quote. Lee laughed, and thanked Meza for the reminder, because he’d thrown his yearbook out. The Cubs fan reposted the photo of his yearbook picture after the team clinched the National League pennant on Oct. 22 in a 5-0 victory over the Dodgers, and the “likes” started rolling in. As a Dodgers fan, Meza was admittedly disappointed at the outcome, but he couldn’t help but root for Lee. Meza even helped spread Lee’s wild prediction, sending it around to several sites, including Chicago Sports blog The Heckler. From there, it didn’t take long for the photo to go viral."

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Cubs Win Cubs Win
OK - love this from astronaut @StationCDRKelly which shows Chicago from the ISS and his thoughts on the Cubbies wining the World Series.

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Mount Rainier
Here's a random picture of Mount Rainier just because. This was taken by the National Weather Service out of Seattle Washington, which according to them, Mount Rainier averages 80" of snow in November and has a record of 214" set in 1994.

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November; Last Month of Atlantic Hurricane Season
According to NOAA, there have been more than 100 tropical systems in the Atlantic basin that have formed during the month of November, here are there tracks. Note that the official Atlantic Hurricane Season ends November 30th.
_______________________________________________________________________________Mostly Quiet Weather Outlook
Here's the weather outlook from Friday to Monday, which shows mostly quiet conditions for an extended period. The next best chance of showers doesn't arrive until PM Sunday/Monday.
 
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Fantastic Friday. Near Record Warmth on Saturday?
I keep rubbing my eyes, wondering when we're going to wake up from this midsummer night's dream. While I stare at blank and very mild weather maps, I feel like weird creatures are going to start popping out from behind my backyard tree. I don't remember the last time I've contemplated wearing shorts and a t-shirt this often, this deep into the fall season.
Interestingly, the Twin Cities has had 205 consecutive days where the temperature has not dipped to or below 32 degrees. To put that into perspective, the record is 207 days, which happened in 1894 and 1900! We could easily shatter that record and tack on another 7 to 10 days before we even come close to a frost in the metro. Unreal.
Friday will be incredible; more reminiscent of late September with sunshine and highs in the mid 60s. It'll almost be too warm for MN deer hunters as they head into the woods this weekend. Highs on Saturday will bubble up to near record warmth in spots. Remember 2014? Up to a foot of snow fell across parts of MN during the first week of the MN deer hunt.
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Extended Weather Outlook
THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear and quiet. Patchy AM fog. Winds: NNE 5. Low: 42
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny and mild. Where's November. Winds: WSW 5-10. High: 65.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mosty clear. Winds: SW 5. Low: 45.
SATURDAY: Near record warmth for MN Deer Hunting Opener. Winds: S 5. High: 68.
SUNDAY: Filtered PM sun. Few showers overnight. Winds: S 5-15. Wake-up: 46. High: 64.
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy, spotty light rain. Winds: SW 5-10. Wake-up: 48. High: 60.
TUESDAY: Gradual clearing, more PM sunshine. Winds: NW 5. Wake-up: 46. High: 59.
WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Still warm for November. Winds: SW 5. Wake-up: 45. High: 61.
THURSDAY: Broken record. More sun and mild. Winds: WSW 5-10. Wake-up: 47 High: 59.
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This Day in Weather History
November 4th
1991: The Great Halloween blizzard ends with a total of 28.4 inches of snow at the Twin Cities.
1956: Parts of central Minnesota experience record high low temperatures in the upper forties to the mid-fifties. Minneapolis, Farmington, Chaska, and Gaylord all had high temperatures of 55 degrees Fahrenheit.
1915: One person is killed by lightning during a strong thunderstorm in Chatfield, MN.
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Average High/Low for Minneapolis
November 4th
Average High: 49F (Record: 74F set in 2008)
Average Low: 33F (Record: 8F set in 1991)
Record Snowfall: 4.2" set in 1951
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Sunrise/Sunset Times for Minneapolis
November 4th
Sunrise: 7:55am
Sunset: 5:58pm
*Daylight Lost Since Yesterday: ~2mins & 43sec
*Daylight Lost Since Summer Solstice: ~5hours and 35mins
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Moon Phase for November 3rd at Midnight
3.5 Days Before First Quarter
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Weather Outlook Friday
High temperatures on Friday wll warm once again with high approaching 60+ across much of the state with the exception of the Arrowhead.

High Temperatures From Average Friday

Here's a look at how much warmer than average we will be on Friday across the Upper Midwest. Note that much of Minnesota will be 10F to 20F above average, while much of the Dakotas will be nearly 20F to 25F above average.

Weather Outlook Friday
Winds on Friday will turn more southwesterly, which will help to bring in warmer air over the next couple of days. Winds, overall, will be light. 
Weather Outlook Friday
Sunny and dry for Friday, no problems here...

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Simulated Radar

The simulated radar from Thursday to Saturday shows a few spotty sprinkles across the Arrowhead of MN early in the day, but we should clear to sunnier skies by the afternoon. Our next best chance of rain doesn't move in until PM Sunday/Monday.

Rainfall Potential
Here's the 5 day rainfall forecast through Tuesday, which shows a little light rain across the state. Note that the rain won't move in until PM Sunday/Monday, until then, we stay dry. 
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Extended Weather Outlook
Temperatures for the rest the week ahead look very mild with temps consistently in the 50s and 60s, which will be well above average. Even into next week, there doesn't appear to be any major cold snaps in sight!
Warm Temperatures Return to Midwest
According to NOAA's CPC, the 6 to 10 day temperature outlook suggests warmer than average temperatures continuing  across much of the Upper Midwest as we head through the middle part of November.
6 to 10 Day Temp Outlook
Here's the national temperature outlook from November 9th - 13th, which shows warmer than average conditions across much of the nation.
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National Weather Outlook
A big bubble of high pressure will settle in across much of the Eastern US, which will allow cooler temps to settle in. Meanwhile, heavier rainfall will be possible across parts of the Southwest and Southern US and Pacific NW.

Precipitation Outlook
According to NOAA's WPC, heavy moisture will continue across the extreme northwestern part of the US, while some 1" to near 3" amounts will be possible from New Mexico to Texas. _____________________________________________________________________________
"Wreck found along 'outlandishly' remote stretch of Lake Superior shore"
"His ship sunk, his belongings gone but for the clothes on his back, L.S. Upson surveyed the scene along the remote shore of Lake Superior 100 miles north of Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario.Upson was one of about 60 passengers and crew who survived the sinking of the packet steamer J.S. Seaverns near Michipicoten Harbor in May 1884. It had been a harrowing experience for the survivors — "it was a fine night or all (would) have been lost," Upson noted in a letter home that was later reprinted in the Chicago Inter Ocean newspaper. But while they may have been glad to be alive, the passengers and crew must have lamented their lot, with their possessions and supplies now on the bottom of the lake — and a wait of indeterminate length until they all could be picked up from the isolated outpost. "This," Upson wrote of his surroundings, "is the most outlandish out-of-a-way place in the world." A group of shipwreck hunters with ties to the Northland met earlier this year along that "outlandish" stretch of shore, in search of the lost Seaverns."
See more from the DuluthNewsTribune HERE:

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