52 F. high in St. Cloud Monday.
40 F. average high on November 14.
53 F. high on November 14, 2015.
November 15, 1976: So far this year there were over three thousand forest fires in Minnesota.
First Winter Slap Brewing - Slushy Late Friday?
Minnesota snow lovers may get an inexplicable urge to ski Roseau by Saturday. Test out the trails near Thief River Falls? Some models are printing out 1-2 FEET of snow for the Red River Valley.
I didn't want to bury the lead.
Deep breaths. Windblown rain ends as wet snow late Friday and Friday night. A slushy inch or two can't be ruled out near the MSP metro. But this isn't the Big One. Not yet. It will be a subtle (yet blunt) reminder that we're roughly 2 weeks away from "Meteorological Winter", which runs from December 1 to March 1; historically the coldest 90 days of the year.
Peak Snuggling Season. Just trying to put a positive spin on this.
Relatively mild weather continues this week; 60F possible Wednesday and likely on Thursday before 30-40 mph winds trigger a rapid temperature tumble Friday PM. There may be slushy, icy roads Friday night - too early for specifics.
Skies clear Saturday with the first sub-freezing temperatures of autumn for the downtowns and close-in 'burbs Sunday morning. Next week looks quiet with a streak of 40s; probably no big storms for Thanksgiving.
GFS Solution: Red River Valley Snow Blitz. NOAA's model pulls a few flurries across central and southern Minnesota, with the heaviest snows (1-2 feet) falling on the Red River Valley. Source: WeatherBell.
2016 Likely To Top 2015 As Hottest Year On Record, Scientists Say. Here's an excerpt from The New York Times: "...The meteorological organization found that global temperatures from January to September were about 0.88 degrees Celsius (1.58 degrees Fahrenheit) above the average for the years from 1961 to 1990, a period the organization uses as a baseline. Temperatures spiked early this year because of the weather phenomenon known as El Niño, which exacerbated coral reef bleaching, which is caused by water that is too warm, and a rise in sea levels. “Preliminary data for October indicate that they are at a sufficiently high level for 2016 to remain on track for the title of hottest year on record,” the organization said. That would mean that 16 of the 17 hottest years on record have been in the 21st century. The other one was 1998..."
Interactive data for 2015 courtesy of The New York Times.
Natural Disasters Push 26 Million Into Poverty Each Year, Says World Bank. The Guardian reports: "Floods, earthquakes, tsunamis and other extreme natural disasters push 26 million people into poverty each year and cost the global economy more than half a trillion dollars in lost consumption, the World Bank has said. A bank study of 117 countries concluded that the full cost of natural disasters was $520bn (£416bn) a year – 60% higher than any previous estimate – once the impact on poor people was taken into account..."
NASA and FEMA Rehearse For The Unthinkable: An Asteroid Strike on Los Angeles. No, don't sweat La Nina, in light of the (theoretical) 330 foot wide asteroid heading toward LAX. It's not real, not yet, but federal agenices are war-gaming what would happen if it was the real deal. The New York Times reports: "Imagine if scientists discovered that an asteroid was hurtling toward Los Angeles. The possibility has existed on the pages of Hollywood scripts. But in what may be a case of life imitating art, NASA, the Federal Emergency Management Agency and other government agencies engaged last month in a planetary protection exercise to consider the potentially devastating consequences of a 330-foot asteroid hitting the Earth. The simulation projected a worst-case blast wave by an asteroid strike in 2020 that could level structures across 30 miles, require a mass evacuation of the Los Angeles area and cause tens of thousands of casualties..."
Image credit: " Credit JPL-Caltech/NASA
TODAY: Some sun, not bad at all. Winds: W 8-13. High: 58
TUESDAY NIGHT: A few clouds around. Low: 38
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny, mild for mid-November. Winds: SE 8-13. High: near 60
THURSDAY: Clouds increase, last mild day in sight. Winds: SE 7-12. Wake-up: 50. High: 63
FRIDAY: Strong winds. Rain ends as wet snow. Winds: NW 20-40. Wake-up: 48. High: 51 (falling sharply PM hours)
SATURDAY: Raw start, then gradual clearing. Winds: NW 10-15. Wake-up: 35. High: 38
SUNDAY: First hard freeze for downtowns. Sunny. Winds: SE 5-10. Wake-up: 26. High: 39
MONDAY: Partly sunny, good travel weather. Winds: SE 10-15. Wake-up: 28. High: 42
In this free evening conversation, you’ll learn:
- Why Christians should lead the charge for caring for God’s creation.
- How climate change goes beyond politics and affects the health, economy, and stability of future generations.
- Tips to help your family and those around you care for the earth..."
Religious Environmentalists Gird Themselves for a Trump Presidency. Here's the intro to a story at Religion News Service: "For environmentalists who ground their work in faith, Donald Trump in the White House presents an unexpected and direct challenge to what they consider their God-given responsibility to care for Creation. And they fear that of all the changes a Trump presidency will bring, his dismissal of climate change could be the most far-reaching and damaging. Trump has deemed climate change a “hoax.” He said he wants to ignore the Paris climate accords. And he has indicated that he would roll back President Obama’s efforts to reduce methane, carbon and other pollutants..." (Image credit: NASA).
U.S. Will Be "Rogue" State If It Ditches Climate Accord: U.N. Envoy. Reuters has the story here.
Big Question on Climate Crisis: How to Inspire Innovation. The solutions to make us more resilient, relying on less carbon to fuel the economy and our daily lives, will come from thousands of new companies focused on solutions. How best to turn up the dial on reinvention? Here's a clip from The New York Times: "...Around the world, energy innovation seems to be speeding up. Large historical forces are converging to create unprecedented turmoil and opportunity in what had long been one of the most hidebound industries. The changes are coming just as governments have finally resolved, after two decades of failed efforts, to tackle the global climate crisis. The emissions that cause global warming have already fallen in some of the biggest countries, including the United States. Yet none of it is happening fast enough. Experts say that to forestall the worst effects of global warming, emissions need to drop by 80 percent or more globally by 2050, a mere 34 years from now..."
Photo credit: "China has been working to reduce the smoggy conditions that plague Beijing."