41 F. average high temperature on November 12.
44 F. high on November 12, 2015.
November 13, 1986: Lakes are frozen over throughout much of the state, reaching as far south as Winona.
November 13, 1938: A snowstorm develops across northern Minnesota. The barometer falls to 29.31 inches in Duluth.
November 13, 1933: The first Great Dust Bowl Storm occurs. The sky darkened from Minnesota and Wisconsin to New York State.
Typical for North Texas - 222 Day Growing Season at MSP?
I'm an old Eagle Scout; if it wasn't for weather merit badge and a tropical storm named Agnes I might have a real job right now. Why weather? The intellectual challenge of predicting the future and a secondary challenge of communicating weather; framing the story differently for each unique audience and need.
Increasingly, the expression "average weather" is losing its meaning. 30-year climate numbers are being nudged by a warmer, wetter, more volatile climate system. Much of Minnesota has experienced a first frost, but not the downtowns, close-in suburbs or MSP International Airport, where official temperature records are kept.
This year the first sub-freezing low should come next Sunday morning, November 20. That implies a 222-day growing season in 2016. That's average for the northern suburbs of Dallas, Texas. On paper the Twin Cities have an average frost-free growing season of 154 days. Right.
Expect 60s today, showers Tuesday, then a windblown soaking rain Friday, ending as snow flurries late. By next weekend you'll need a heavy jacket again.
Minnesotans wear heavy jackets in November, right?
Warmest First 10 Days of November. So says Dr. Mark Seeley in this week's installment of Minnesota WeatherTalk: "The remarkable warmth so far this month is record-setting. For example in the Twin Cities, the average temperature for the first ten days of November is 53.7. This is nearly 14F above normal and surpasses the other warm first ten days of November which occurred in 1975, 2001, and 2015. This pattern is holding true at a number of locations around the state, including International Falls where the first ten days of November are average close to 46F also about 14F above normal. This too surpasses the other warmest Novembers of 1964, 1975, and 2015. So far this month 32 daily high temperature records have been set within the Minnesota Cooperative Weather Observer Network across the state, including a remarkable reading of 78F at Mora..."
Aeris Weather Briefings: Issued Saturday morning, November 12, 2016
* Dozens of large, uncontained wildfires continue to blaze in the Southeast
* Mandatory evacuations in Chimney Rock and Lake Lure communities in North Carolina
* State of Emergency declared in Tennessee
* Poor air quality will continue this weekend
* Exceptionally dry conditions are expected to continue
Graphic credit above: "The Rough Ridge fire in north Georgia has spread over 10,000 acres. Here are some photos taken of this incredible wildfire, courtesy of InciWeb. Please continue to take fire danger very seriously, especially given the worsening drought conditions." Atlanta office of the National Weather Service.
Tracking Fires From Space. An extended period of dry weather post Hurricane Matthew has resulted in extreme drought conditions across the Southeast. The exceptionally dry conditions along with stronger winds in recent weeks have allowed for explosive fire conditions--dozens of large wildfires (Incident 1 & 2) continue to burn in the Appalachians. The map below shows the # of active, large wildfires currently in progress. Credit: NASA
Susie Martin, Meteorologist, AerisWeather
Map credit: U.S. Drought Monitor.
Police: Wannabe Weatherman Set Fire to Gain Facebook Views. This takes sick to a whole new level; courtesy of wtop.com: "A wannabe weatherman was jailed for arson after admitting he started a wildfire to draw attention to his selfie videos on Facebook, his town’s police chief said Friday. Meanwhile, a Georgia sheriff appealed for help identifying the driver of a dark blue SUV last seen where other wildfires began. And in North Carolina, authorities suspect arson in more than 20 wildfires burning in a national forest..."
Photo credit: "Smoke from the Party Rock fire near Lake Lure spreads as emergency services and the N.C. Forest Service work to contain the blaze Wednesday, Nov. 9, 2016 at Lake Lure, N.C. Unseasonably warm dry weather has deepened a drought that's igniting forest fires across the southeastern U.S." (Abigail Margulis/The Asheville Citizen-Times via AP).
Tornado-Free November. Here's an interesting nugget from CNN and ourquadcities.com: "Severe weather is often associated with spring, but fall is a second deadly season for tornadoes, especially for Gulf Coast states. There hasn't been a single tornado to date this month in the country. Last year 99 tornadoes occurred in November. On average, the month sees 58 tornadoes, most occurring in Texas, which averages nine in November..."
Weather Photo of the Week. Check out this haboob, triggered by thunderstorm downdrafts kicking up a wall of windblown sand and dust. More details via Capital Weather Gang.
Best Places To Watch 2017 Eclipse. If you're an astronomy buff it's not too early to plan ahead for next August. Here's an excerpt from EarthSky: "The foremost criterion for selecting a site is the weather. Any location along the path of totality from Oregon to South Carolina can enjoy good weather on eclipse day, but the western half of the United States, especially from the Willamette Valley of Oregon to the Nebraska Sandhills, will enjoy the very best weather odds. You can watch the weather forecasts starting a week before eclipse day to judge whether you can strike for a spot close to home or drive further afield. Wherever you go, every eclipse viewer should have a plan for mobility. Even in the sunniest locations, you don’t want to be caught under a cloud during the precious two minutes of totality...."
Image credit via GreatAmericanEclipse.com
File image: NASA.
The Joys of Pumpkin Spice. It's been an interesting week, and nothing calms the nerves like pumpkin spice...and talking guinea pigs. Thanks to HLN, FLUFF and YouTube. I predict you're going to like this clip.
TODAY: Mild sunshine. Wow. Winds: SW 8-13. High: 62
SUNDAY NIGHT: A few clouds, still quiet. Low: 42
MONDAY: Partly sunny, a bit cooler. Winds: NW 7-12. High: 54
TUESDAY: Few passing rain showers. Winds: W 10-15. Wake-up: 43. High: 57
WEDNESDAY: Dim sun, honeymoon continues. Winds: S 10-15. Wake-up: 40. High: near 60
THURSDAY: Clouds increase and thicken. Winds: E 10-20. Wake-up: 50. High: 59
FRIDAY: Windswept rain, turning colder late. Winds: SE 15-25. Wake-up: 52. High: 60, then falling sharply
SATURDAY: Gusty, windy, feels like November. Winds: NW 10-20. Wake-up: 36. High: 41
In this free evening conversation, you’ll learn:
- Why Christians should lead the charge for caring for God’s creation.
- How climate change goes beyond politics and affects the health, economy, and stability of future generations.
- Tips to help your family and those around you care for the earth..."
This Year The Antarctic Has Suddenly Started to Disappear. Co.Exist has the story; here's the intro: "The Arctic is melting. We know that already. But now we're in worse trouble, because the Antarctic is disappearing too. By studying 36 years of satellite images, researchers have spotted the worrying trend. Until now, they thought that the Antarctic ice sheet was actually growing, but that has changed. The Arctic consists of a sea surrounded by land, and this stops its ice from drifting away every summer. The Antarctic is the opposite—land surrounded by water—so most of it melts every year. But every winter it refreezes, covering almost 7 million square miles with sea ice..." (File image: NASA).